| 送交者: 十九届四中全不会[品衔R2☆] 于 2020-01-25 7:45 已读 2158 次 | 十九届四中全不会的个人频道 |
6park.com6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.comDr. Eric Feigl-Ding 6park.com@DrEricDing 6park.com 6park.com 6park.comHOLY MOTHER OF GOD - the new coronavirus is a 3.8!!! How bad is that reproductive R0 value? It is thermonuclear pandemic level bad - never seen an actual virality coefficient outside of Twitter in my entire career. I’m not exaggerating... #WuhanCoronovirus #CoronavirusOutbreak 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com下午12:01 · 2020年1月25日·Twitter for iPhone 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com
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喜欢 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com6park.com 6park.com 6park.comDr. Eric Feigl-Ding 6park.com@DrEricDing 6park.com 6park.com·
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@DrEricDing 6park.com2/ “We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (R_0) to be 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-4.0), indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing... 6park.com 6park.com8 6park.com 6park.com421 6park.com 6park.com962 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com6park.com 6park.com 6park.comDr. Eric Feigl-Ding 6park.com@DrEricDing 6park.com 6park.com·
9小时 6park.com 6park.com3/ ... We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8-5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, and by 21 January a total of 11,341 people (prediction interval, 9,217-14,245) had been infected in Wuhan since the start of the year. Should the epidemic continue unabated in Wuhan.... 6park.com 6park.com9 6park.com 6park.com424 6park.com 6park.com863 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com6park.com 6park.com 6park.comDr. Eric Feigl-Ding 6park.com@DrEricDing 6park.com 6park.com·
9小时 6park.com 6park.com4/ we predict the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially larger by 4 February (191,529 infections; prediction interval, 132,751-273,649), infection will be established in other Chinese cities, and importations to other countries will be more frequent. Our model suggests that.. 6park.com 6park.com11 6park.com 6park.com429 6park.com 6park.com797 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com6park.com 6park.com 6park.comDr. Eric Feigl-Ding 6park.com@DrEricDing 6park.com 6park.com·
9小时 6park.com 6park.com5/ travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February. Our findings are... 6park.com 6park.com4 6park.com 6park.com384 6park.com 6park.com781 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com6park.com 6park.com 6park.comDr. Eric Feigl-Ding 6park.com@DrEricDing 6park.com 6park.com·
9小时 6park.com 6park.com6/ ...critically dependent on the assumptions underpinning our model, and the timing and reporting of confirmed cases, and there is considerable uncertainty associated with the outbreak at this early stage. With these caveats in mind, our work suggests that... 6park.com 6park.com4 6park.com 6park.com262 6park.com 6park.com664 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com 6park.com6park.com 6park.com 6park.comDr. Eric Feigl-Ding 6park.com@DrEricDing 6park.com 6park.com·
9小时 6park.com 6park.com7/ a basic reproductive number for this 2019-nCoV outbreak is higher compared to other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.”!!!! #wuhanvirus #CoronavirusOutbreak #ChinaCoronaVirus ... 6park.com 6park.com
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