交易小贴士头肩底形态
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交易小贴士头肩底形态
头肩底,就是指形态酷似人的头与肩的关系的K线组合形态。头肩底是一种反转形态,它和头肩顶的形态相反,又称“头肩顶”形态。
头肩底的形成
形成左肩时价格下跌,成交量相对放大,接着是一次成交量较小的上升。然后价格再次下跌,且跌破前期的低点,但成交量随下跌而增加,较左肩反弹阶段时的成交放大,形成底部;从底部最低点回升时,成交量有可能放大。但整个底部的成交量比左肩多。当价格回升到前期反弹高点时,出现第三次回落,此时成交量明显少于左肩和头部,价格在跌至与左肩平时,逐渐稳定下来,形成右肩。最后,价格发动一次升势,成交量随之增加,当颈线被突破时,成交量显著放大,整个形态由此确立。
头肩底的指示信号
1、这是一个反转型态,通常在下跌行情后期,形态前期未出现明显下跌的,大部分演化为箱型整理形态。
2、当头肩底颈线突破,且进行颈线位置回测时,才是真正的买入信号。虽然价格和最低点比较,已上升一段幅度,但升势才刚刚开始,尚未买入的投资者应该继续追入。
3、其“形态盈利目标”的量度方法是从头部的最低点画一条直线垂直于颈线,然后,在右肩突破颈线后延长,向上量度出同样的高度,所量出的价格就是将会上升的目标价格。
如2018年9月末-10月初美原油行情走势图表所示
1、原油刷新高点75.00美元后连续下跌,并在K线上走出头肩底形态;
2、价格突破71.00颈线位置后短线下跌,对颈线支撑位进行回测,构成最佳买点;
3、作图后得出以下数值:
<!--[if !supportLists]-->"Helvetica Neue";mso-bidi-font-family:"Helvetica Neue";color:#262626; mso-font-kerning:0pt">• <!--[endif]-->头肩底形态最低点A,报价64.70美元
<!--[if !supportLists]-->"Helvetica Neue";mso-bidi-font-family:"Helvetica Neue";color:#262626; mso-font-kerning:0pt">• <!--[endif]-->头肩底形态颈线点B,报价71.00美元
<!--[if !supportLists]-->"Helvetica Neue";mso-bidi-font-family:"Helvetica Neue";color:#262626; mso-font-kerning:0pt">• <!--[endif]-->A点至B点价差6.3美元,B+价差=77.30
实际行情出现后观察图表可以发现,美原油价格基本运行至77.30目标价格附近(实际盘面报价77.10)
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