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China factory profits slip as overcapacity troubles economic recovery 美国和欧盟对中国政府利用制造业提振增长的计划表示了担忧。
US and EU have raised alarms about Beijing’s plans to use manufacturing to boost lagging growth. 6park.com
官方数据显示，中国工厂利润已从两年高位回落，加剧人们的担忧，即工业产能过剩正在给中国政府重振全球第二大经济体增长势头的努力增加困难。 6park.com 6park.comIndustrial profits at large Chinese companies declined 3.5 per cent in March from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics reported on Saturday. Across the first quarter, industrial profits rose 4.3 per cent compared with the same period in 2023. 6park.com中国国家统计局(National Bureau of Statistics)周六公布，3月份，规模以上工业企业实现利润同比下降3.5%。1—3月份，中国全国规模以上工业企业实现利润同比增长4.3%。 6park.com 6park.comThe March reading was a blow to Beijing after industrial profits in the January-February period jumped 10 per cent to hit a 25-month high, raising hopes that the downturn in the industrial sector was bottoming out. 6park.com3月份的数据对中国政府来说是一个打击，此前的1—2月份，中国全国规模以上工业企业实现利润同比增长10%，达到25个月来的高点，引发了人们对工业部门低迷正在触底的希望。 6park.com 6park.comGoldman Sachs analysts said both industrial profits and revenue fell “notably” in March and highlighted lower margins as a problem for Chinese industry. 6park.com高盛(Goldman Sachs)分析师表示，3月份工业利润和收入均“显着”下降，并强调利润率下降是中国工业面临的一个问题。 6park.com 6park.comThe latest signs of stress in the Chinese economy come as officials in the US and Europe have raised alarms about Chinese policymakers’ plans to use the country’s manufacturing heft, including via exports, to boost growth. 6park.com中国经济面临压力的最新迹象出现之际，美国和欧洲官员已对中国政策制定者利用中国制造业体量优势（包括通过出口）提振增长的计划发出警告。 6park.com 6park.comOn a three-day trip to China last week, US secretary of state Antony Blinken warned President Xi Jinping’s administration against heavy state subsidies for industry, saying there was already a “clear mismatch” between China’s production and global demand. 6park.com美国国务卿安东尼•布林肯(Antony Blinken)在对中国进行3天访问期间，警告中国国家主席习近平领导的政府不要为工业提供国家补贴，称中国的产能与全球需求之间已出现“明显的不匹配”。 6park.com 6park.comBelow-market prices for Chinese products could have “potentially devastating effects” on workers, communities and businesses overseas, Blinken said. 6park.com布林肯表示，中国产品低于市场的价格可能对海外工人、社区和企业产生“潜在破坏性影响”。 6park.com 6park.comChina’s foreign ministry said on Friday that officials had “refuted” Washington’s narrative on overcapacity in meetings with Blinken, and dismissed criticism of Chinese industrial policy as another example of US protectionism and suppression of Chinese development, according to state media. 6park.com据官方媒体报道，中国外交部周五表示，官员们在与布林肯会晤时驳斥了华盛顿方面有关“中国产能过剩论”的叙事，并将对中国产业政策的批评视为美国搞保护主义、打压中国发展的又一例证。 6park.com 6park.comChina set a growth target of about 5 per cent for 2024, the same as last year — the lowest in decades — but analysts have cautioned that the figure remains ambitious amid widespread deflationary pressure and would require increased stimulus support. 6park.com中国将2024年的经济增长目标设定为5%左右，与去年持平——为几十年来的最低水平——但分析人士提醒称，在通缩压力普遍存在的情况下，这一数字仍然雄心勃勃，需要加大刺激支持力度。 6park.com 6park.com“Benign supply chain conditions, plentiful inventories and industrial overcapacity in China will help to keep a lid on core goods inflation,” Capital Economics analysts Simon MacAdam and Ariane Curtis wrote in a research note. 6park.com凯投宏观(Capital Economics)分析师西蒙•麦克亚当(Simon MacAdam)和阿丽亚娜•柯蒂斯(Ariane Curtis)在一份研究报告中说：“中国良好的供应链条件、充足的库存和工业产能过剩将有助于抑制核心商品通胀。” 6park.com 6park.comAnalysts from Westpac, the Australian bank, said that steel industry exports have been an important “release valve” for overcapacity, noting that China is approaching record levels from 2015 in steel exports, despite a rising global backlash to dumping excess products overseas. 6park.com澳大利亚银行西太平洋银行(Westpac)的分析师表示，钢铁行业出口已成为产能过剩的一个重要“排气阀”。他们指出，尽管全球对中国向海外倾销过剩产品的反弹日益强烈，但中国的钢材出口正接近2015年以来的创纪录水平。 6park.com 6park.comThe NBS struck a more positive tone on Saturday, reporting that in the first quarter, electronic industry profits were 82.5 per cent higher year on year, while auto manufacturing profits were up 32 per cent for the same period. 6park.com中国国家统计局周六发布的报告基调更为积极，称今年第一季度电子行业利润同比增长82.5%，汽车行业利润同比增长32%。 6park.com 6park.comState media also expressed confidence in Beijing’s plan to further boost consumer spending by subsiding trade-ins of older cars and household appliances. 6park.com官方媒体还对北京方面通过补贴汽车和家电产品的“以旧换新”来进一步刺激消费的计划表示了信心。 6park.com
Factory profits in China have retreated from a two-year high, according to official data, highlighting concerns that industrial overcapacity is complicating Beijing’s efforts to revive momentum in the world’s second-biggest economy. 6park.com
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