Click to enlarge. two previously
unreported submersibles, believed to be extra-large uncrewed underwater
vehicles (XLUUVs). They were recently set up on the quay at a Chinese
Navy base on Hainan, South China Sea. Satellite Image from July 31 2022
by Maxar Technologies, via Google Earth. 6park.comChina’s New Extra-Large Submarine Drones Revealed
China's naval expansion may have a key program which was
not previously reported. Secretly deployed to the South China Sea, two
unknown underwater vehicles have been seen at Sanya naval base. This may
be the first indication of a much larger program.
H I Sutton
16 Sep 2022
6park.com
6park.com
The U.S. Navy and Royal Navy are both pursuing extra-large uncrewed underwater vehicles
(XLUUVs). These drone submarines are widely seen as a key part of
tomorrow’s fleet. And the early movers may have a significant advantage. 6park.com
It is no surprise that the Chinese Navy (PLAN) also appears to have a
corresponding program. Yet no details have been available until now. 6park.com
Satellite imagery of Sanya naval base on Hainan in the South China
Sea reveals two XLUUVs. The two vehicles have been present since
March-April 2021, but have only come to light now. The arrangement
indicates trials or testing. Sanya is part of a series of important
naval bases in the area and is home to operational submarines. The quay
where the new XLUUVs have been seen is near to where China previously
based midget submarines. 6park.com
The high-resolution imagery, taken by Maxar Technologies’ satellites,
is available in Google Earth. Google Earth is one of the oldest Open
Source Intelligence (OSINT) tools in the defense space. With the advent
of near-daily satellite passes from other sources it can be overlooked,
but checking its latest updates can yield rewards. 6park.com
Extra-Large Uncrewed Underwater Vehicle
6park.com
Our preliminary assessment points to the two black objects being
XLUUVs (Extra-Large Uncrewed Underwater Vehicle). These are too small to
be regular submarines, and too large to be swimmer delivery vehicles
(SDVs). 6park.com
The two submersibles are different sizes and appear to be
significantly different designs. This suggest a competitive trial of
different prototypes or demonstrators. 6park.com
The first XLUUV is around 16 meters (52 feet) long and 2 meters (6.4
feet) across. It has a streamlined bow. At its tail, it appears to have
two propellers (screws) in a side-by-side arrangement. This is
interesting because it may indicate a link to the HSU-001 LDUUV. 6park.com
(Large Displacement Unmanned Underwater Vehicle). The HSU-001 was first shown in public
in September 2019 and is believed to be in service with the PLAN,
although few details have emerged since. The new vehicle is more than
twice the size however. 6park.com
6park.comThe Orca XLUUV Test Asset System prepares for the first
in-water test following a christening ceremony April 28, 2022, in
Huntington Beach, California. The Orca XLUUV program is tailored to
address joint warfighting needs with a sense of urgency. Boeing photo. 6park.com
The new submersible’s size is very similar to the U.S. Navy’s Orca
XLUUV. Developed by Boeing, that system is seen as the first-mover in
this space. However the first Orca was only christened in April, while
it appears that the PLAN have had their prototypes in the water since
2021 or earlier. 6park.com
The other XLUUV is outwardly simpler in form. It is much slimmer but
also longer, around 18 meters (59 feet). This design is reminiscent of Lockheed Martin’s contender for the U.S. Navy’s Orca XLUUV program. 6park.com
Implications
6park.com
XLUUVs are widely seen as key naval technologies which might shape
future conflicts. Like existing mid-sized UUVs they can perform ISR
(intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance) missions. Their greater
size however should translate into much longer ranges. It also opens up
other roles, such as offensive minelaying, anti-submarine warfare and
transport. 6park.com
As is the nature of intelligence, the new vehicles may turn out to be
something other than XLUUVs. However whatever they are, they are likely
interesting and relevant for defense analysts. 6park.com
China has been building up and modernizing its Navy for the past 20
years. This has included a number of advanced underwater vehicles, some
of which have not been publicly acknowledged. So while this latest
program may come as a surprise, it shouldn’t. It is a reminder of
China’s growing naval power and ambitions. And that it can build up new
capabilities in relative secrecy.