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柳叶刀COVID报告总结(部分)
送交者: compact[★品衔R6★] 于 2023-01-14 14:50 已读 987 次 1 赞  

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2022年9月15日早上6:30,柳叶刀COVID委员会公开发布了一份最新的全球COVID-19调查报告,「The Lancet Commission on lessons for the future from the COVID-19 pandemic」(https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(22)01585-9/fulltext)。报告主要回顾了自COVID-19疫情爆发以來,全球各国在应对疫情时,在众多决策层面的的重大失败。报告的目标是希望提出预防和遏制未來新兴传染病爆发的公共政策。 6park.com

下面是这个报告的总结部分,及本人所做的翻译(不当之处,敬请指正) 6park.com

根据健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)的报告,截至到2022年5月31日,全球新冠报告死亡人数690万,估计死亡人数1720万。这些令人震惊的死亡数字背后,不仅是深刻的悲剧,更是全球治理多方面的惨重失败。太多的政府没能坚持制度理性和透明度的基本规范,也有太多的人们,常常是受到不实信息的影响,不尊重并且抗拒基本的公共卫生防范措施,以及世界主要国家未能通力合作来防范疫病的流行。

As of May 31, 2022, there were 6·9 million reported deaths and 17·2 million estimated deaths from COVID-19, as reported by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME; throughout the report, we rely on IHME estimates of infections and deaths; note that the IHME gives an estimated range, and we refer to themean estimate). This staggering death toll is both a profound tragedy and a massive global failure at multiple levels. Too many governments have failed to adhere to basic norms of institutional rationality and transparency, too many people—often influenced by misinformation—have disrespected and protested against basic public health precautions, and the world’s major powers have failed to collaborate to control the pandemic. 6park.com

报告的第二部分“a review of the global, regional, and national responses to COVID-19”(对全球、地区、各国对新冠的反应的评议)。其中第二节是“The origins of SARS-CoV-2”(新冠病毒的起源),其主旨仍然是“没有结论”: 6park.com

We concur with the position of 18 leading scientists who wrote in Science magazine44 in May, 2021: “We must take hypotheses about both natural and laboratory spillovers seriously until we have sufficient data.” As a group of 16 scientists communicated in The Lancet45 in October, 2021: “Overwhelming evidence for either a zoonotic or research-related origin is lacking: the jury is still out.” More than 2 years into the pandemic, the search for the origin of SARS-CoV-2 remains incomplete and inconclusive.46,47 Independent experts consulted by the Lancet COVID-19 Commission shared the view that hypotheses about both natural and laboratory spillovers are in play and need further investigation. 6park.com

总的感觉,这是一份非常客观的报告,秉持了科学家的理性,没有太多的政治考量,值得细读。 6park.com

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